skip to content
文章 · 2026年6月 Posts · June 2026

hbmParsing?


Okay, let me help you break the logic of your thinking down at one point and one step at a time.


I. UNDERSTANDING THE CORE CONTENT OF THE ENTITLED

The core judgement that the author wants to express:HBMTesting the plate is currently on the upward trend and should continue to be held or bought, without being easily pegged.


II. THE PLEMENT-OVER-THE-LEVEL DISCUSSION OF THE ENTITLED EXPERTS

First paragraph: Why do you use the “Men Lights”?

**What did the author do:**He mentioned that Migwang’s financials were not published, but at home.HBMThe test plate has been up all June.

**His logic is:**The good light’s money is not the driver.**NationalHBMThe increase in detection has its own independent logic.**No need to wait for the light to “go gun.”

**What does that mean?**The author considers that this rise is not a short-term “hungry” campaign, but is supported by a continuing industrial trend.


Second paragraph: The most critical sentence of the whole — “The upward trend is only one chance to buy the highest.”

This phrase is at the heart of the entire trade philosophy of the author and needs to be understood:

He used one.ContrastTo explain:

Market statusYour situation.Outcome
Upward trend(e.g.)HBMTest Now)You were wrong to buy the highest point once.Any other time, it’s all right.
Decline♪ Like the sunset industry ♪You only bought the lowest one once.Any other time, it’s wrong.

In the example of life, you can see:

Imagine you sitting there.A lift on the upper rowYou stand on it, and whatever step you step on, it will eventually grow higher. Only when you step on the top level, you go down — that’s the only time you’re wrong.

The other way around,A down-line escalatorOnly the bottom level is right, and all the other times will continue to go down.

**The author would like to tell you:**He’s judging now.HBMThe test is “upstairs.” So…Don’t be afraid to buy it because it’s so much up.. As long as the trend is still in place, buying sooner or later is right, and the only mistake is the moment the trend ends.


What does “Four tracks, seven lines” mean?

The author has no explanation here., which is a sort of framework that he has drawn himself.

  • Photocommunication(April main line)
  • Ban(May Main Line)
  • HBMTest(June main line, possibly through July)
  • There’s another one that’s not named in the track.Storage

**“Breaking.”**It refers to more specific links or types of companies that are located below each major track.

**His logic is:**He has his own track rotation — monthly market funds focus on a technology sub-industry, forming a staged backbone.HBMTest is now the lead in June.


Paragraph 4: Why do you stress “the little thing is fast going in and out”?

The author made a distinction:

TypeFeaturesPolicy
High-view track.(e.g.,HBM(detection)Industry trends are sustained and long-termHold it long, you’re going down.
Minor issues/eventsThe shock is exciting. No basics.Come on in and out. No fighting.

**He wanted to tell you:**Don’t chase all hot spots, tell the difference between “real trends” and “fake hypes.”HBMThe tests belong to the former and are worth “recontaining and taking.”


What does “Snow on the Long Plow” mean, “Plus of Snow”?

**The word is not explained by the author.**This is a metaphor for the investment circle:

  • Longhill.♪ Long enough track, big enough room to grow, not a flash
  • Snow.= Industry is profitable enough for companies to make a sustainable profit.

Together, it’s:Pick a big, fat trade, roll snowballs slowly.

**The author’s core strategy is summarized in one sentence:**A high-view track is held for a long time and buys more and more.


Para. 6: What does “upwards go to the top”?

That’s the old stock market quote the author quoted.

**It means:**When something is on the rise,**Don’t try to predict where the maximum can go.**Because the best you can guess is that the result is often — sell it too early and watch it keep rising.

Author’s Logical Close:

  1. HBMThe test went up all June.
  2. The upward trend is only one at the highest.
  3. ♪ The rising trend is the end of the line ♪
  4. Conclusion: Continue holding or when low-cost

III. Logical chain of the author’s entire paragraph

前提:HBM检测涨了整个六月(事实观察)
↓
判断:这是一个高景气度的上升趋势(定性)
↓
哲学:上升趋势只有一次买在最高点(交易原则)
↓
策略:不要猜顶,长期持有,敢于大跌大买(操作建议)
↓
类比:就像四月的光通信、五月的封测一样,HBM检测是六月甚至七月的主线(历史参照)

What attention can be paid if you want to verify the author’s view?

There is no need to analyse, but just look at these directions:

  1. HBMTest the stock market of the company.- Whether to continue with high innovation or fall in the ground.
  2. HBMData on supply and demand (high bandwidth memory)- Like what?AIBig chip factory.AMDOrder/capacity planning
  3. Order/performance announcement for domestic semiconductor equipment/detector companies- Is there basic data to support the rise?
  4. The light,SKThe Treasure Guide to the Deposit of the Dragons.- Yeah.HBMDescription of capacity and demand
  5. Market trade.- Whether the plate is inflated or inflated when it is inflated.

V. Objective summary

Author’s logic is self-serving: ifHBMThe test is indeed a positive upward trend driven by industrial trends, so “no guess, hold on to the ups and downs” is a reasonable strategy. But the premise behind this analysis is that:**The upward trend is continuing.**And once the trend reverses (e.g. performance fraud, withdrawal of funds, industry profit), “only once at the top” becomes “you buy at the top.” Moreover, the author has no basis for the classification and rotation patterns of “seven segments of the four tracks,” which is personal experience and cannot automatically be extrapolated to the future.


Is there anything else I can do to expand on this?

评论Comments